The wait is finally over....after today, we'll finally get that cool down many have been asking for. Looking at the severe & flash flood potential, both remain low. With the onset of activity in the overnight hours, there will be less instability to work with, resulting in a mainly moderate rain event with little lightning. With that said, the Plateau and into Middle TN could see some stronger to even severe storms during the evening and early overnight.

Breaking it down a bit further, here's a look at Hi-resolution model guidance. As it suggests, a few isolated showers will work through this afternoon. We are already seeing some light showers along the Northern Plateau and this will continue east with time. As the front presses closer, showers and a few storms will arrive overnight (mainly in that 2-4am window). Luckily, the bulk of activity will be overnight while many are asleep, leading to sunshine by tomorrow afternoon and a big change in air mass.

Forecasted highs, this by the NWS in Morristown, shows low to mid 60s through the weekend. Additionally, overnight lows will range from the upper 30s to mid 40s. For those with a few last minute crops, you may want to cover them up as we could even see some isolated patchy frost a few mornings (mainly in the higher elevated locations). 

Overall, post-front, things should be gorgeous. This weekend will see mostly sunny skies with highs in the 60s. Rain should be out west-to-east through the mid morning to early afternoon.

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Another warm and humid October day is expected with highs near the mid 80s for some. Most locations have been averaging 10-15 degrees warmer than average this week. Today will be the warmest of the days, as a warm front shifted through last night and into this morning. Luckily, a strong cold front sits to our west, bringing cooler and less humid air for the weekend.

Speaking of the cold front, check out the expected passage (Saturday morning). Check out that temperatures gradient, with temperatures 10-15 degrees above average to the east, followed by temps 5-10 degrees cooler than average on the backside (west). Highs this weekend will average the mid 60s, with our norm in the lower 70s.

In addition to the blast of cool air, shower activity can be expected along and ahead of the front. An isolated shower or two can't be ruled out Friday afternoon, but the bulk of rainfall isn't until the overnight hours and early into Saturday. Rainfall amounts will vary, but between 0.25 and 0.5 is expected. This should mainly be an all rain-no thunder event. Additionally, rain and cloud cover should be out by mid morning, leaving sunny skies and a very refreshing Fall-feel the remainder of the day and again for Sunday.

If you can bare just one more day of summer-like heat and humidity, I promise relief will arrive. Check out our video forecast below for more.

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Cloud cover lingers on the western side of the Smokies, but on top, things are mostly to partly sunny! This views comes courtesy of the Smokies at Newfound Gap. It appears to be a pretty popular destination today, and for good reason. Temperatures are well above the average but leaves are beginning to turn into their Fall colors.

Looking at what is ahead, a big change up is in the works. A stout cold front, currently across the Rockies and into the Plains, will take aim at East Tennessee later in the week. Below are the temperature anomalies (comparing expected temps to the average for this time of the year). The left image highlights this afternoon, while the right image is of Sunday afternoon. Highs this weekend and into next week will find themselves in the 60s during the afternoon and 40s overnight.

Along with the front, showers will be widespread. We will begin seeing a few Friday, increasing both in chances and in cloud cover through the day. By the overnight, widespread showers are expected. These will continue into early Saturday, before sunshine and cool temps arrive for the afternoon. 

Overall, if you have been waiting for Fall to arrive, this is it. Most of the weekend will feature sunshine with temps in the 60s (slightly below average for this time of the year). Only a few more days of near record setting heat, then a true Fall arrives.

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The Atlantic has been on the quiet side as of late, but a few disturbances are once again popping up in the Caribbean. Development looks limited over the next 48 hours, but will be something to watch through this week. 

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The last bit of light showers are across the eastern half of the area this morning. These are mainly confined to I-75 and east and will gradually dissipate through the early afternoon. A bit of sunshine will make a return by days end, with highs topping out in the upper 70s.

Looking at the Atlantic, its fairly quiet for a change. A disturbance off the coast of the Carolinas could bring heavy rainfall to the coast, otherwise no tropical systems are expected to develop over the next 48 hours. 

Moving forward, high pressure will build in from the south. As it does so, drier air will filter in along with warmer temperatures. Highs by the end of this weekend will be in the lower 80s, with that trend to continue into Columbus day and the new work week. Our next best chance of rain doesn't make a return until at least the mid to late work week.

Overall, things dry out by the end of the day today. Dry conditions and well above average temperatures will then stick around the next several days. Take advantage, there is not many times we are stuck in the 80s for early to mid October. 

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Good morning! Isolated to scattered showers continue this morning, so don't forget those umbrellas. As we work through the day additional activity will arrive, before much needed drier air fills in the latter half of the day tomorrow.

Looking at the WPC's excessive rainfall outlook, we remain under a Marginal to Slight risk for flash flooding. As we saw yesterday, much of the Plateau received heavy rainfall and even some severe weather across portions of Cumberland and Fentress Counties. Activity should be more directed to the valley and southern valley today, so have a way to receive alerts through Friday morning. 

As the upper level low works northeast and out of the area, the last of its rain will arrive through today and into the first half of Friday. High pressure will begin building in from the south, bringing drier air and warmer temperatures by Saturday. Highs this weekend will range from the upper 70s to low 80s. A fairly dry stent can be expected, as shower chances don't arrive back until at least mid to late week next week.

That will wrap it up for today, use precaution if in food prone areas. Follow our Twitter/Facebook for the latest information, and don't forget to take action when you receive a warning from the Nation Weather Service.

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Showers are already developing and moving through this morning for portions of the southern valley and into the central valley. This will continue, becoming more widespread this afternoon and evening, with highs topping out in the mid 70s.

As we work ahead, moisture will continue to be pumped into the area. Waves of heavy rainfall will arrive at times, specifically into the day on Wednesday. Activity will continue through Thursday morning, before becoming more scattered. A much better shot at a dry and sunny day returns just in time for the weekend, with Saturday partly to mostly sunny and warm.

Looking at this one (of many) models, heavy rainfall can be expected through tomorrow evening. Combining this with the WPC's excessive rainfall outlook, flash flooding will be a large concern through Wednesday. Specifically, the WPC has placed nearly all of the area under a marginal risk, with a slight risk and even a moderate risk along Chattanooga and the border. Be sure to view our video forecast below for more information. Take precautions now for those in low-lying and flood prone areas. Training storms, or storms that continue to dump rainfall over the same area, will be the biggest concern later today and through Wednesday.

With a hydro threat hanging around, mainly into the day tomorrow, be sure to follow us on Twitter/Facebook for all the latest information. You can follow us at @SecretCityWx. Have a good one, be safe, and don't forget to send us reports of what you are seeing out there.

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A passing front has lowered temperatures throughout the region, with highs expected to top out in the mid 70s today. Looking at the past 24-hours, you can see where the front has been with temps anywhere between 5 and 15 degrees cooler. This is typically the average for this time of the year, so expect 70s to hang around much of the week. 

An upper level disturbance will settle across the region, bringing unsettled weather through much of this week. As a result, showers can be expected every day, with hydro issues of a concern. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC for short) has placed us under a Marginal Risk for flash flooding today, Tuesday, and Wednesday. A slight risk even is across the far southeast. With this in mind, use caution if in flood prone or low-lying areas. There is no concern for strong storms or severe weather, just consistent moderate showers at times through the work week.

As mentioned above, the WPC has placed the area under a marginal risk for flash flooding. This outlook is for Tuesday, where you can see a slight risk along the southeast and bordering Georgia/Alabama. This expands slightly north for the day 3 (Wednesday) outlook, but it will depend on how much rainfall we see through the day tomorrow. Be sure to tune back in for updates in regards to the flooding threat and more.

Be sure to follow us on Twitter/Facebook if you do not already. We provide updates day and night on the latest radar trends, reports, forecasts, and more. Thank you as always for your support, and take advantage of a drier day today before moderate rainfall arrives much of the remaining work week. 

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Good morning! Patchy fog will start the day off, but will clear through the next hour or two. This will leave sunny to partly sunny skies above and highs in the low to mid 80s. Changing gears, here's the latest look at the Atlantic. Hurricane Sam and Tropical Storm Victor are active, but not expected to impact the USA. There is only one hurricane name left for the season (Wanda) before Greek letters are then used. As a reminder, hurricane season runs through the end of November.

After a dry stent, showers are set to return to East Tennessee. An approaching front will bring isolated showers the later half of the day tomorrow, and then much widespread activity Sunday and into Monday. Looking at general totals, you can expect anywhere from 1 to 2 inches Sunday through Tuesday. A lingering upper level low will also keep isolated to scattered shower chances in the forecast towards mid week. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible along and ahead of the front late weekend/early week, but there shouldn't be a severe or hydro threat.

Enjoy another day or two of drier air, before much cooler air and showers arrive late weekend and into next week. Highs Monday will range from the low to mid 70s, with that to continue into mid week as well.

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