Good morning! If you are heading out of the door for work or school, don't forget those umbrellas. Showers and a few thunderstorms are currently working through much of the valley. This will be one of several rounds we see today with strong to severe storm potential this afternoon.
With that said, severe potential will be marginal (or conditional as we like to call it). Meaning, things will need to fall into place just right for us to see any severe storms. The biggest unknown is how much recovery we see between this round of showers/storms and the ones this afternoon. If we can find a few breaks in sky cover and warm up enough, we could see a better opportunity. Given the unknowns, SPC has placed the majority of the area in a Marginal until better confidence arrives through the day. With that said, if strong to severe storms do develop, the primary threat is damaging winds, but isolated areas of spin up can't be ruled out. The timing will primarily be this afternoon to early evening.
Showers & storms will begin to fade out tonight, becoming more isolated to scattered in nature. Some wrap around moisture from the low will stick around into the first half of the day Friday, before conditions start to dry back out by Friday night. This will set up a gorgeous and warming Holiday weekend, with highs Saturday near 80 and highs Memorial Day near 90.
With the lack of confidence in knowing how much instability (or usable energy) we gain today, the severe threat is low but not out of the question. Primary concerns today will be the heavy rainfall contributed to the several rounds of showers and thunderstorms (which could cause flash flooding), and damaging wind gusts with isolated instances of spin up. Have a way to receive alerts and know what to do if warnings were to be issued.
Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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