A warm start to the day as a warm front is building north this afternoon. This will boost afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s with a breezy south to southwest wind of 5-15 mph. Other than a few isolated spotty showers today, a majority of the day will stay dry and mostly cloudy.
Looking at this afternoon, strong and severe storms are expected to develop across West Tennessee, Kentucky, and down through Northern Louisiana. As for us, a Marginal risk is in place as storms quickly weaken with the eastward shift. Even so, strong to damaging wind gusts will be the primarily threat, mainly impacting the Plateau.
Breaking this down, you can see how quickly this line of convection weakens and breaks down. As it gets across the Plateau, it nearly fizzles out with mainly showers expected. If this system does progress a few hours sooner, we could be in for stronger storms. For now, timing of this line comes between midnight and 4am, with the plateau likely seeing the strongest of these storms. As for rainfall, between a quarter and three-quarters of an inch can be expected. Showers could linger into tomorrow morning, before partly cloudy skies return later tomorrow afternoon and through Friday. Spotty showers then arrive back throughout the weekend.
Though this system is expected to weaken eastward, the severe threat is not entirely ruled out. With timing overnight, have a way to receive alerts if they are issued. Again, confidence is low in severe storms, but not 0, with damaging wind gusts the main threat. Have a good one and enjoy some much needed sunshine by late afternoon tomorrow and throughout Friday.
Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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