Good morning! Changing things up a little, lets start by breaking down the dry conditions we have across the state. Looking at soil moisture percentage over the past 7 days, we have been very dry. In fact, some areas are nearly 20+ percent drier than this time a week ago. With a few abnormally dry spots in place already, I would not be surprised to see these expand in this weeks output. For now, nothing of major concern just a note and something we will keep an eye on as we move forward.
Looking at model guidance, a low working to our north will bring the opportunity for isolated showers late tomorrow and into Thursday. The SPC has highlighted a marginal risk for our far northern counties bordering KY, but I think the chances are fairly low for our neck of the woods. With that said, activity will be a bit more widespread into Thursday, with a few strong thunderstorms not entirely ruled out. Unfortunately, keeping with the rain/drought theme, very little rainfall can be expected wit this system (at least area-wide). Our better opportunity comes this weekend where a passing cold front finds us.
Other than a few showers and thunderstorms late tomorrow and into Thursday, dry conditions and warming temperatures will prevail. By Friday, highs will be the warmest we have seen this year, topping out in the upper 80s and low 90s. A few spots may even find the mid 90s before all is said and done with. Keep your heat safety in mind as this may come as a surprise to some. Check out our video forecast below for more.
Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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