Good morning! I hope your day is off to a good start. For those who have not left the house, be sure to throw on an extra coat as temperatures will hang in the 30's all day. Looking at the current TDOT webcam near Hardin Valley, snow showers are working through this morning and will continue to periodically throughout the day. If you follow along on social media, we mentioned accumulations to be light in the valley (dusting to an inch possible) with the Plateau/Foothills (1-3") and the peaks of the Smokies (8-12"+).
The surface map for this morning paints a messy picture of rain, mix, and snow. As you can see on the webcam above, snow is falling now across the region. As this system works east today, expect clearing and gradually warming temperatures ahead. High's stay cool Tuesday in the upper 30's (near 40) and returning to the mid 40's on Wednesday.
Light snow showers/flurries look to continue on and off today before diminishing this evening. Gradual clearing will take place Tuesday as high pressure works eastward early to mid week. Temperatures will also increase with high's Thursday nearing 50 degrees. Our next system follows late in the work week and early into the weekend....more details below!
Temperatures will feel even colder today with a northwest breeze. Feel-like temperatures will be in the 20's at times so bundle up. Stay safe on roadways as well as slick spots could form. Have a good Monday everyone!
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Special Edition: Could We See The Best Of Winter Ahead...?
As the title hints to, we could see more snow later this week. Longer term guidance is "hyping" up our next weather maker, arriving first late Thursday. As you can see below, a powerful low will bring the chance for heavy rain, gusty winds, and and some lighting potential. Following this initial line of rain, both GFS and European guidance suggest a changeover to snow across Middle and Eastern Tennessee. As with previous events of these characteristics, I anticipate much lessor amounts...but one can hope right?
*This is not a forecast* Speaking of accumulations, here are two model outputs for Friday. The figure below is of snow totals over the 36-hour duration.
*This is not a forecast* Compare this with the European model below, this is of 6-hour totals. This model is much more bullish, indicating the potential for larger snow amounts.
I FULLY anticipate many changes over the next several days but given the 5 to 6 day period, I thought it was noteworthy. Climatological speaking, this would be a very rare event so lean on the side of heavy showers (at times) followed by light snow showers to flurries. For now, if you are a snow lover, do your snow dance for a few days and maybe Mother Nature will bless East Tennessee with a good snowfall. Continue to check in as we'll provide updates ahead. Again, the graphics above are not forecasts, but instead guidance for what could come. We will likely see much less than what is indicated above. Have a good one and stay safe!
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