Unsettled Weather Midweek; Turning Back Dry Into The Weekend

Good morning East Tennessee! A pleasant early Fall morning, with 9:45 am temperatures in the low to mid 60s. This is a bit cooler than yesterday, as depicted below on the 24-hour temperature change map. We'll warm up nicely today though, in fact above average, in the low to mid 80s. Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies should dominate the day.

Looking at satellite, the last of morning fog is all but nearly gone. This is leaving mainly high clouds across the southeast, while plenty of sunshine elsewhere. We'll see some afternoon cumulus develop, but outside of this, generally dry and quiet through this afternoon. An approaching upper level disturbance will bring better cloud cover overnight into Wednesday, along with shower and storm chances for some.

Looking at model guidance, the better potential for rain will be in locations north. The northern plateau and valley will fair the best shot, but even then, the highest rainfall chances will be across Kentucky. Nonetheless, any rain we get will be beneficial after our extended period of mostly quiet weather. We have a little bit of drought popping up in the recent data, so any rainfall is welcome before these conditions grow even further. Rain chances will be best tomorrow afternoon, with lingering chances Thursday to early Friday. Dry weather then returns for the weekend into early next week. 

Rain amounts overall will be minimal for most. Those south of I-40 can expect upwards of a tenth, while those north up to a quarter of an inch. Any thunderstorms could bring locally higher amounts, along with a some gusty winds and hail. Again, the best potential for thunderstorms (strong or not) will be for areas the furthest north.

Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast