Sunshine and warm temperatures find East Tennessee again today with high's topping out around 70 degrees. Unfortunately, cloud cover and eventual rainfall also find their way back Wednesday and Thursday. Looking at the current surface map, low pressure is working through the Central plains, bringing severe weather opportunities to northern Texas. As this shifts east, scattered rain finds us Wednesday with better chances on Thursday.
Breaking model guidance down, we stay dry now through Tuesday evening. Scattered showers will accompany the low to our (current) west. The better weather maker arrives late Wednesday into Thursday, bringing heavy showers and storms for the day. As of now, the SPC has issued a 15% chance for severe weather along Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. Given the latest data, I could see them expand this area as we get closer to Thursday. For now, anticipate showers (heavy at times), lightning, and the chance for gusty winds & hail (sub-severe).
Enjoy another mild and sunny day before cloud cover works into overnight and throughout Tuesday. Showers then follow for Wednesday and Thursday with bettering conditions Friday and the weekend.
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