Good morning and happy Friday! Cloud cover will continue to work in through the day as Delta moves closer. For now, most should expect to stay dry the first half of the day with isolated to scattered showers working in by this evening and overnight. Looking at the day 2 excessive rainfall outlook, the WPC has placed parts of East Tennessee under a Marginal risk for flash flooding (5%-10%). Given how dry things have been across the area that will help in reducing flash flooding risk, but it is something we will be watching out for as we work into Saturday.
Pockets of heavier rainfall are possible late tonight and through Saturday. A few thunderstorms aren't out of the question either, but severe potential is very low. Remnants of Delta should be begin to work out by Monday morning providing a bit of sunshine back across the area in the afternoon. A system to the west will help force Delta out by early next week while also giving us isolated shower chances and cooler air on the back side. Sunny skies and high's in the low to mid 70's should return by Wednesday of next week.
Overall totals will vary. An initial line of showers will work through ahead of the parent low from Delta, then the brunt of activity the second half of Saturday and early Sunday. As of this morning, totals between the 1-3 inch mark are on tap. As Delta works north today, slight changes in the path will likely impact overall totals. Continue to check in through social media for the latest.
That will wrap it up for today, I hope you've enjoyed our dry streak as Delta will provide a good rain through the region. As I mentioned, tropical systems are hard to pinpoint down, so check in through our social media for updates. The biggest risk this weekend will be flash flooding, but I think due to the dry stent we have been on the risks are low.
Delta is beginning to make an appearance on satellite as it works into the Gulf of Mexico. After making brief landfall in Mexico, Delta has returned to the Atlantic and is intensifying as it works into the Gulf.
As of the latest from the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Delta will continue working northward. Landfall is expected to be made sometime late Friday/early Saturday through the heart of Louisiana. Uncertainty still lies with strength and path but as of this morning, Delta continues to strengthen as it enters the warm Gulf waters. Once landfall is made, Delta will work north and eastward forcing its way into western TN and KY. Again, uncertainty lies with the exact path, so anticipate changes in the days ahead.
Moving forward, we will phase back towards normal/slightly above normal temperatures. Checking out the the middle of October, temperatures will be similar to what we will experienced Monday and Tuesday. On the flip side, precipitation will more than likely be at to above average.
For the short term, things will stay dry today and much of the day Friday. We'll start to see cloud cover migrate in the second half of today, bringing cloudy skies to close out the work week. By the evening hours of tomorrow, a few isolated showers can't be ruled out. Through Saturday, showers and a few storms should be anticipated throughout the day. Again, changes are likely once Delta makes landfall but given the latest, the majority of this system will hang to the west and north (good news for us).
Continue to check back in for updates regarding Delta; changes are inevitable. As for today, stay cool! Above average temperatures will blanket the region with some areas reaching the mid 80's. Cloud cover and the eventual rainfall will cool things back down Friday and the weekend. Have a good Thursday and thank you for relying on Secret City Weather for all your east Tennessee weather needs.
The latest satellite imagery of Hurricane Delta shows landfall to soon be made in Mexico. As of last night, this hurricane was a category 4 storm. Expectations are for Delta to weaken as it works through the eastern tip of Mexico and back into Gulf waters. From there, uncertainty lies with strength, landfall timing, and path.
For now, we continue to enjoy the sunshine and above average temperatures. High's today will top out in the upper 70's to low 80's under sunny skies. Similar conditions are in store tomorrow with high's warming to the mid 80's for some spots. By late Friday, Delta will make landfall bringing cloud cover and isolated shower chances to the area. As of the latest, the heart of Delta stays westward, bringing the heaviest rainfall to western and central TN.
Early guidance is suggesting anywhere between the 1 and 2 inch mark here in east Tennessee, but tropical systems are very challenging to forecast for. Given the length of time out and uncertainty in intensity and path, better details will be paved out in the days to come. For now, enjoy the warm and sunny conditions but do anticipate for rainfall through the weekend.
Tune in as we progress through the week; more details will be provided as to path, intensity, and duration. Sunny skies and above average temperatures continue for Thursday before tropical moisture and cloud cover find their way into Tennessee by late work week and weekend.
After about a week of peace, activity in the Atlantic is back. Tropical Storm Gamma is currently impacting parts of Mexico and will turn northward this afternoon. We will keep a close eye on its path and intensity in the day ahead. As for Tropical Depression 26, it will work north and west, likely developing into a hurricane by Wednesday and arriving into the Gulf. We are several days out but the NHC suggests landfall in the Gulf by late this week.
We saw beautiful conditions this past weekend and expect the same for much of this week. A dominating high pressure will work in, keeping much of the eastern US dry the next several days. Specifically here at home, anticipate lots of sunshine and warming temperatures in the days ahead. We will see high's back in the upper 70's to lower 80's Wednesday and Thursday.
As we transition towards the cooler season, UV indices will slowly get lower. This is due to the tilt of the earth and the associated sun angle. With that said, we will see values in the medium range throughout the week (5-6), so be careful.
We will kick off the week with more sunshine and high's in the low to mid 70's. Working ahead we will see high's return to the upper 70's/low 80's (the avg. for this time of the year). Enjoy this GREAT weather and check back in for updates regarding the Tropics. We will more than likely see tropical activity impact the US the later half of the week.
Good afternoon! A pleasant view from the McCloud Mountain cam. A few fair-weather cumulus clouds are passing through, otherwise things are mostly sunny with temps currently in the low to mid 60's.
Anticipate this beautiful streak to continue for Friday as well with sunshine to return and high's nearing 70 degrees. A very slight rain chance is possible Sunday afternoon and evening, but the majority of us should stay dry. By Monday and early next week, things will be as they are today: Sunny with high's in the 60's and 70's.
For those planning to be up and early tomorrow, be sure to have the warm gear ready. Morning temperatures will be in the low to mid 40's with some spots even seeing the upper 30's. Overall though, a chilly start will transition to another beautiful day, so make some plans if you have the opportunity!
Other than the low rain chances late weekend, this would be a perfect time to enjoy a hike in the Smokies, golf, or camp in some great spots around east Tennessee. Don't forget to share those adventures with us by sending pictures to SecretCityWx@aol.com or tagging us on social media. Finish out Friday strong and have an excellent weekend!
Good morning everyone! This view of the New found Gap area comes courtesy of the Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Another beautiful day is planned ahead with high's in the low to mid 70's and sunshine overhead.
A cold front will work through this afternoon providing an additional drop in temperatures for Friday and the weekend. Fortunately for us, this one will be dry. We'll see it arrive sometime in the early to mid afternoon hours today. Following the passage of the front, anticipate much cooler and drier air. Low's tonight will fall to the mid 40's with the coolest temps of the new season likely Friday night into Saturday morning.
As for rainfall chances in the next several days, things look pretty calm. With additional dry air arriving this afternoon, things will remain seasonable tomorrow and Saturday. A round of showers is possible for Sunday afternoon and overnight, but things dry back out for Monday and early next week. Overall, things should be beautiful for much of the weekend, so enjoy the sunshine and comfortable to cool temperatures.
A look at dew points and more can be found in our daily video below. If you are in the agriculture sector looking for late season production, see how we can help! We can provide you with a better understanding in the weather patterns and when frost could impact crop production. Simply email us at SecretCityWx@aol.com or visit the "Services" tab above and we will get back to you as soon as possible.
We are on tap for a cooler and drier period in the days ahead. As you can see from the Stansfield's webcam below, lots of clearing took place overnight. Temperatures right now in the valley are near 47 and will warm to high's in the low to mid 70's.
Overall, there is not a ton to discuss. Things will stay dry for the next several days as another blast of cold air shoots in from the north and west. As you can see in the graphic below, a cold front extending from the Great Lakes will push through late Thursday. Through today and tomorrow we'll see high's in the 70's. With this secondary shot of reinforcing air, high's will be knocked back down to the 60's on Friday. We do have an opportunity the second half of Sunday for isolated shower chances, but data is hinting this will stay mainly to the north. Updates will be provided in the days ahead, but for now, enjoy the drier, calmer, and cooler streak.
Things should be rather comfortable today and tomorrow with high's in the mid 70's. Then Friday, we'll cool back down to the 60's and ride that through much of the weekend. Do remember the jackets ahead though, as morning temperatures will vary from the the low to upper 40's (depending on the day and where you are located). A look into our coldest expected morning ahead as well as a full look into the forecast (Below)
Good morning! For those who are leaving the house, you may want to throw on a light jacket. Temperatures right now are in the 50's and won't be warming up too much through the day. As you can see below, we are nearly 20 degrees cooler than we were this time yesterday. Cloud cover will stick around for the majority of the day making things feel on the cooler side (in addition to the obvious post-cold front air).
Looking longer term, things will begin to quiet down. A few isolated showers will pop up through the first half of the day before drier air fills in tonight. If you look into the Dakotas area, a cold front out of Canada is diving southward. This will be our second blast of cool air by late work week and into the weekend.
The good news is this second front looks dry, leaving sunny skies and cool to comfortable temps Friday and this weekend. For the time being, expect cloud cover to linger today with a few showers late morning to early afternoon. By tonight, things will begin clearing, allowing for sunshine back into Wednesday.
Overall, things look gorgeous for Friday and the weekend. If you haven't made some outdoors plans yet, you should! Temperatures will slowly increase back into the 70's for Wednesday and Thursday before the 60's return late work week and the weekend.
A strong cold front is on its way today with heavy showers and a few storms possible this evening & overnight. A secondary front will arrive late work week providing another cool down Friday and the weekend. High's will be nearly 20 degrees cooler tomorrow when compared to today's expected high's.
The SPC has placed a majority of east Tennessee under a Marginal risk for severe weather. The brunt of heavy showers and storms will stay contained to the Plateau, but some could roll through the valley this evening & early overnight. In addition to the Marginal severe risk, a Marginal risk for flash flooding (5-10%) is also in place (more details in the forecast video below). The main threat will be localized heavy winds and downpours. We will see gusty winds throughout the day (up to 20 mph) as southern flow dominates ahead of the front.
Most rainfall will take place between 8 pm and midnight with a few lingering showers into Tuesday morning. By Tuesday afternoon, dry air from the north and west will funnel in providing overnight low's into the 40's. Temperatures will begin increasing back mid-week to the lower 70's before another cold air mass knocks temps back down to the lower 60's for Friday.
With an active start to the work week, tune in for updates. Localized heavy showers and storms will be followed by cool temperatures into Tuesday. Be sure to break out those jackets if you haven't already because temperatures will be trending below average all week long.
Rainfall is beginning to peter out this morning as remnants of Beta continue to work eastward. The latest 24-hour precipitation accumulation map shows totals near the 4 inch mark for parts of McMinn to the south of Knoxville. The remainder of the area is lying in the 2 to 2.5 inch mark from Chattanooga to Jefferson City. All in all, movement of the system did work a bit further east with the later models we saw yesterday. Flooding conditions stayed limited as of this morning but if you have a report, you may send it to SecretCityWx@aol.com or by tagging us on social media.
Looking at the latest surface map, the low associated with Beta is working east, leaving a bit of drier air in behind. Unfortunately, this won't stick around too long as another system to the north and west will swoop through. This will allow for scattered showers the second half of the weekend and into early next week. Following the system, a steep cold front will leave high's Wednesday and onward in the lower 70's to mid/upper 60's.
Doing a little teleconnection analysis, the Arctic Oscillation is phasing towards a negative signature....so what does that mean? As a brief background, teleconnections are large scale "signals" based on pressure and circulation differences. In this case, a -AO indicates the likelihood for cooler air across the southeast and and weaker trade winds off the coast of Africa. This relationship can be seen as we work into the next 3-8 days. Activity in the Tropics (as of this morning) have all but ceased and cooler temperatures are expected to migrate in the second half of next week. As shown from the graph below, AO will shift back positive, but it will be nice to feel a Fall front and have little activity in the Atlantic. I would also like to mention teleconnections are not see all be all, they are only guidance to help in a longer term forecast.
As showers work out this morning, drier air will move in tonight. For the most part, expect showers to be out of the Valley by 2pm this afternoon. Most of us will stay dry tonight and through Saturday before scattered showers return Sunday and Monday with the next system. Once the cold front moves through, Wednesday, sunny skies will remain as cool dry air dominates behind the front.
With lots on the plate today, check out all the details through the video forecast below. If Secret City Weather can help you, be sure to shoot us an email or visit our "Services" tab above. Have a wonderful weekend and check in on Twitter/Facebook for updates throughout the next couple of days.
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