Other than some patchy fog lifting out this morning, we start cool and crisp for early to mid June standards. Fortunately, we will warm nicely into this afternoon, with highs topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny skies. Dry weather will stick around through Saturday, before showers & storms return Sunday into Monday.

Analyzing the threats, a Slight risk of flash flooding is in place across much of the state. WPC suggests this to be a higher end potential given some guidance, but for now, I am downplaying this myself. Reason being, some of the suggested guidance are more outliers when compared to the mean, we are running fairly dry in many spots (with drought across many East TN locations), and the better support is further west. That said, isolated heavy rainfall within storms could lead to an instance or two of flash flooding and it is a threat we need to keep in mind Sunday afternoon into the night.

Additionally, a risk for severe storms is present (1/5 on the risk scale). Again, the better support will be further west, but a few strong storms will be possible Sunday afternoon to evening where strong to damaging wind gusts are the primary concern. Of the two threats, I believe the severe threat is of a higher potential, though national federal centers obviously differ in this opinion. We will see as better guidance comes in today and Saturday, so tune back in to our social media for the latest.

Temperatures will fall down into the 70s to low 80s Monday with the passing front, where briefly drier air returns Monday night. This won't last too long though, as isolated to scattered shower/storm chances will be possible each afternoon to evening this upcoming week. Check out our Twitter/Facebook page (@SecretCityWx) along with our video forecast below for more.

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Good morning to all! With our last bout of rainfall (for some) foggy conditions have started the morning off. As such, please use caution on your way out the door. Reduced visibilities are likely, so account for slower travel times for the morning commute. By this afternoon, sunshine should return, leaving highs to find the mid to upper 70s. 

Something we have discussed a little earlier in the week is smoke. With hundreds of Canadian wildfires on-going and no end in site, dense smoke, reduced visibilities, and health concerns have been roaming around in the news. This is particularly so in the Northeast. Fortunately, with our last system, some changes are in store, where reduced smoke appears likely for some. That said, those closest to the fires in Quebec and Ontario will remain at risk, with higher chances as we work into the weekend. For now, we will steer clear, as depicted below, with portions of PA, Western NY, and sections of the Mid Atlantic at the highest risk today. 

Though we look to stay dry and mostly sunny this afternoon through Saturday, rainfall chances do creep back in late weekend. An approaching disturbance will look to bring widespread rainfall to the area, with most picking up between a quarter to half an inch. The image below is what the Weather Prediction Center has forecast, which seems a little aggressive at the moment but something we will watch for. Nonetheless, rainfall will be beneficial to the drought introducing itself across the state, so it will be a welcomed site. For now, storms will generally remain sub-severe but a few strong storms and heavy rain makers are definitely possible. 

That will do it for today, enjoy the sunshine this afternoon and to come. Showers and a few storms arrive late weekend, with drier air to fill back in towards mid-week. Temperatures will warm in the days to come as well, with highs Saturday in the mid 80s.

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Good afternoon! Looking at radar, showers continue to fill in. Activity will generally stay confined to light to moderate intensity, but a few thunderstorms can't be ruled out. These are a welcomed sight given the dry conditions the past few weeks, where up to a half an inch will be possible. Locations in the northeast and bordering KY will have the highest amounts, while those south and west (southern valley and plateau) will fair the least.

In terms of temperatures, cloud cover and rain cooled air has really impacted things. Most central valley locations sit in the mid 60s, while those who have been sunnier thus far have warmed into the 70s and even 80s. This quite a bit of disparity, all dependent on the cloud coverage. 

For what's to come...hit and miss showers continue through early tonight, where cloud cover will slowly break up by early Thursday morning. This will allow for high pressure to fill in behind a cold front, and sunny skies to arrive Thursday afternoon through Saturday. Temperatures will also fare cooler for all tomorrow (upper 70s to around 80), before we warm through the weekend. Another bout of shower and storm chances return late weekend into early next week with our next disturbance. 

I hope you have the umbrellas handy today. Showers will be hit a miss through the remainder of the day, with sunshine to return in full force tomorrow afternoon through Saturday. Have a good one, enjoy the pleasant weather to come, and don't forget to follow us on Twitter & Facebook @SecretCityWx

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Here is a test: Find a ridge or object that is typically several miles out and ask yourself if it looks abnormally hard to see/hazy. The answer is likely yes, and the reason? Smoke from Canada. Looking at the Smokies below, the name is very fitting. As you can see, very "smoky" or hazy views are present and will be all day.

Looking at a smoke dispersion model, dense smoke looks likely into this afternoon, which could impact those who are sensitive health-wise as well as visibilities. We should begin to clear out through Wednesday, with rain back in the forecast. Temperatures today could be affected by the smoke, where reduced highs in the mid 80s seem favorable. Large wildfires in Canada are the cause of what we are seeing/experiencing today.

Looking at our next opportunity for rain, a slow moving cold front dips south tonight. As it does so, cloud cover will increase late and scattered showers will eventually result for Wednesday. A few storms also can't be ruled out. Unfortunately, not everyone will see rain and if they do, not in large numbers. The highest amounts will be across the Northern Valley/Plateau border KY and across the far northeast. Chances in rain and amounts decrease the further south and west you are. Nonetheless, this will be a helpful rain to our increased drought, but not something to sustain us very long. 

By Thursday, a cooler and drier airmass fills in. This will leave us mostly sunny and dry Thursday through Saturday, before better shower chances return Sunday into early next week. Take a look at our video forecast below for more information as well as examples of the smoke across the region.

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We are off to a warm start with lunch time temperatures ranging in the upper 70s to low 80s. Satellite also depicts some cumulus starting to develop, leading to partly cloudy skies for some. The good news is most will veer dry today, though a very isolated shower isn't impossible across the higher terrain. Overall, highs this afternoon will peak in the upper 80s to low 90s.

A similar threat for heat is in the works for Saturday, with a degree or two higher forecast. Most valley locations will find the 90s, while higher terrain upper 80s. Either way, this will be between 5 and 10 degrees above the average for this time of the year, so keep your heat safety in mind. Slightly cooler, and closer to average, temperatures find us into early next week.

Outside of temperatures, isolated afternoon pop up showers or storms will be possible each day. These will be few and far between, but not something to entirely rule out. The best chances will be off the higher terrain (smokies & plateau) between 1 pm and 8 pm each day. That will do it for this post, have a wonderful weekend and if you do plan to be out and about, send us a few pictures under the "news and more" tab.

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With a lack of rainfall in the past week or more, dry conditions have creeped across the Volunteer State. The expansion of abnormally dry conditions has spread west, with more locations likely added a week from now. This continued "Summer-Like" pattern looks to stick around until at least mid next week. This means any rainfall that does occur will be confined and short lived with isolated pop up afternoon activity through the next several days.

Another concern as we build into the day tomorrow and the weekend, will be temperatures. Heat safety will be something to keep in mind for those heading outside for extended periods of time. Be sure to stay hydrated and have the sunscreen on. Temperatures will likely peak in the upper 80s to near 90 tomorrow, finding the low 90s Saturday. Some slight relief returns Monday, with highs "cooling" into the mid 80s.

Like yesterday, a few afternoon pop up showers or storms can't be ruled out. These daily, low end chances will remain generally through the weekend, with the bigger risk being the warm air that continues to build in. Have a good one, stay cool & hydrated, and enjoy the day!

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Check out the latest view over Gatlinburg (courtesy of Skylift Park). A gorgeous partly cloudy day, with temperatures right now ranging in the upper 60s to mid 70s. We will warm several more degrees before days end, peaking in the low to mid 80s. Even warmer air is set to build in for the days to come.

We are in the midst of a very summer-like pattern, where warm and moist air will bring the daily threat for showers and storms. Overall, these will be isolated to scattered in nature, where the bulk of activity will stay in the Smokies and Plateau. That said, we could get some that drift into the heart of the valley, so don't be surprised to get caught in a quick heavy shower or storm one afternoon/early evening. No real widespread rain makers look to be in the forecast for the next several days.

As hinted at above by the lack of meaningful rainfall ahead, our eyes are then focused on the results of this. It's great to have warm and generally quiet days, but this can only be sustained for so long without some issues arising. Looking at the rainfall departure from normal over the past 2 weeks, you can see most areas are running 1 to 2 inches below their typical average. Given some low-end abnormally dry spots creeping in on the drought monitor, I fully expect an expansion of this map tomorrow and next week. The one and only exception to this was our most recent rain maker, where far NE Tennessee picked up above average amounts. We will keep you posted as we move forward, but for now, not too much to worry about in terms of any major drought threats this week.

That will do it for today. It will be an excellent series of days to get out and about. That said, keep the umbrella close (just in case) and keep your heat safety in mind. We will warm to near the 90 mark by Saturday afternoon. UV indices will also remain high all week.

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The overall trend through the week will be the rising temperatures and daily isolated to scattered shower/storm chance. Shower activity will primarily be during the peak heating hours of the day (afternoon to early evening) before dissipating into the night. As far as temperatures, we will start in the upper 70s to low 80s today, warming to around the 90 mark by Saturday. 

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