Radar shows a few isolated showers working through parts of Morristown, Greeneville, and Jonson City but these are quickly moving east as we get into the afternoon. Looking ahead, the day 2 SPC outlook (Wednesday am to Thursday am) a slight risk remains in effect for much of TN and KY. We are looking at the timing for this line to work through overnight Wednesday and early into Thursday. The primary threats will be damaging winds and hail but isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out either.
The latest surface map helps depict the setup of this unsettling weather. A low pressure system to the north will work its way east as a trailing cold front develops. Ahead of this cold front is where we will see the best chance for strong shower/storms. Once the cold front works through (late Thursday morning), we'll begin to dry out, clear out, and cool back off.
Similar to yesterday, a few isolated showers are possible throughout the afternoon today. We will stay calm overnight with showers and storms redeveloping into Wednesday. As a cold front works in to the north, stronger showers & storms will develop to the west. As we progress through the later half of the day Wednesday and into early Thursday, expect this line to move through the area. Be weary! This (weakening*) line will work through while many of us are in bed so have a way to receive alerts and take the proper precautions if things do become severe.
Looking ahead into mid-April, much cooler air is expected to work in. This is important for those in the agricultural sector as frost and freezing temperatures are something we'll be keeping a close eye on. If you want more details into the timing, how long this will last, and when the most ideal time to plant will be, shoot us an email at SecretCityWx@aol.com or check out our services tab at the top of our website.
That does it for today...enjoy another warm and mild afternoon and check in for updates tomorrow as severe potential is something on our radar.
I hope everyone had a good Monday! The shot of Neyland Stadium below highlights today's beauty with few clouds and comfortable temperatures. Changes are on the way though for mid-week as showers and storms could impact the area in the days ahead.
Starting with the day 2 SPC outlook (left), a slight risk is in effect for the northern and eastern half of our state. As we saw today, scattered showers will likely move through tomorrow afternoon and evening. With some instability in place, some of these could be strong to severe. Again into Wednesday (day 3 -- right), a slight risk remains as the main system begins to work in. The timing falls in the evening to overnight hours of Wednesday into Thursday with damaging winds and hail the main threats, but isolated spin-up also possible.
Model guidance depicts the scattered showers tomorrow afternoon and into Wednesday morning before a cold front works in from the west. If you notice toward the end of the gif, a line of showers works in from the west. Behind this, a cold front that will knock temperatures down to below average on Friday. Tomorrow will feel more like a late summer pop up shower/storm day with a chance for some to be severe. Wednesday night into Thursday will be a more typical setup with a strong jet, instability in place, and a trailing front. Nonetheless, be weather aware both days with an emphasis into Wednesday night.
Working into the end of the work week, much cooler air will push in. The cold front will begin to cool things off and clear things up Thursday, providing high's in the upper 50's on Friday. Sunny skies return as well but another round of isolated showers are possible the later part of the weekend.
That wraps it up for tonight....I apologize for the late post, but we'll be back to normal for tomorrow. Pay attention for any severe threats tomorrow afternoon and, as always, we'll keep you posted!
Another beautiful day is unfolding with sunny skies and high's around 70. Expect the dry conditions to continue into the weekend as well. A high pressure system will keep things at bay the next day or two, but changes arrive Sunday and early next week.
If you recall, we had high's in the low to mid 50's Tuesday and we are looking to be in the mid 70's Saturday and Sunday. The average for this time of the year is in the upper 60's, so we will be slightly above that as we work into the weekend.
A cold front will slowly makes its way east before breaking down late Saturday. An isolated shower or two is possible Sunday and Monday as another system to the south develops. We will see this system work in fully by Tuesday and early Wednesday before drier air follows the later portion of the week. Expect to stay on the drier side Sunday and Monday but we can't rule out a few isolated showers/storms.
If you have the opportunity to enjoy the sunshine and comfortable temperatures, I encourage everyone to do it! If you are active on social media, be sure to follow us @SecretCityWx. We will try to keep the boredom away with threads and weather updates. If you have anything you'd like to see, ask, or discuss, let us know!
I hope you are enjoying your Thursday so far! It was another chilly start this morning with temperatures in the upper 30's to lower 40's. Luckily, we have begun to warm up late this morning with current temps in the mid 50's. If you check out the latest GOES-East view below, much of the southeast is having their fill of sunshine today.
With a high pressure system stationed across the eastern half of the US, sunny skies will continue to stick around into Friday as well. We will gradually warm in the days ahead with high's tomorrow around 70 and low to mid 70's through the weekend.
With little to discuss the next couple of days, we will highlight the longer term changes. A system to the south and west is expected to develop and begin working in early next week. We will see an isolated shower or two Sunday and Monday before the main system arrives Tuesday and early Wednesday.
Sunny skies and comfortable temperatures stick around again tomorrow so go out and enjoy them! If you plan to hike, check out the lake (still very cold), or do something outdoors, share with us on Twitter/Facebook @SecretCityWx.
Good afternoon! I hope you are staying warm once again today as high's will top out in the mid 50's. If we look into the Newfound Gap area this morning, a much different scene with a fresh 1-3" of snowfall across the area.
As we move into the days ahead, a high pressure system will clear things out making way for sunny skies and warming temperatures. We'll begin to inch our way back to average high's with tomorrow in the mid 60's. Warming temperatures continue into Friday as well with high's in the lower 70's.
Model guidance shows a rather uneventful next few days as mostly sunny skies will be the main story across the region. As we work into the later half of Saturday and into the day Sunday, an isolated showers or two is possible across the area. Our best chance for showers doesn't return until Monday and early next week.
It is important to note areas of patchy frost are likely to develop overnight. If you have already started planting for the upcoming season, be sure to have a way to protect your plants tonight. Overnight low's in the valley will fall in the mid to upper 30's with the biggest concern for the higher elevations who will be around that freezing mark.
If you get the opportunity, go out and enjoy a string of dry and sunny days. Today may be a bit chilly for some but Thursday and Friday will be beautiful with high's in the 60's and 70's. For a full graphical forecast, click "Weekly Forecast" at the top of our page.
Good afternoon and I hope you are staying warm. As you can tell below, much cooler air has moved in for the southeast as this system works through. Expect chilly temps to remain in place tomorrow before we gradually warm back up to average temperatures Thursday and Friday.
We have good news ahead as warmer temperatures and sunnier skies will return for the next several days. Once this system works out entirely tonight, clearer skies will return tomorrow afternoon and the days to follow. Our next real rain chance doesn't return until the later part of the weekend and into early next week.
Longer term (early to mid-April), the CPC suggests average to above average temperatures to be the case. If you would like more details for the up and coming growing/planting season (Growing Degree Days (GDD), Frost dates, etc.) shoot us an email at SecretCityWx@aol.com.
That will wrap up today's forecast but stay dry and warm as we work into this afternoon. Chilly temperatures will stick around tomorrow with sunshine likely in the afternoon. The second half of the week looks great for any outdoor adventures!
Good afternoon! Another beautiful day filled with sunny skies and comfortable temperatures. Unfortunately, changes are on the way with our next weather maker (as seen to the west). Along with showers throughout Tuesday, we'll also see much cooler air.
Looking into the forecasted high's tomorrow, we'll top out in the lower 50's. Cooler air will work in throughout the day (decreasing temperatures) with high's back to an early Spring feel. Overnight low's will be chilly as well in the upper 30's to low 40's here in the valley.
Looking at this next system, it will arrive early into Tuesday and continue throughout the day. Unlike our last system, severe weather will stay south with a few rumbles of thunder possible tomorrow afternoon. Overall, expect moderate showers and cooler air throughout the day. Overnight, the highest elevations of the Smokies could see snow as temperatures dip below the freezing mark above 5000 feet. We'll clear back out for Wednesday with decreasing clouds and remain dry through much of the work week.
That will do it for today but check in for the latest forecast and be sure to stay dry and WARM through the day tomorrow.
I hope you are having a good Friday! Looking at the latest surface map below, a powerful system will begin setting up this afternoon and Saturday. With a strong jet in place to the north, severe activity is likely in parts of Missouri and Illinois.
Looking at the day 2 outlook, a MODERATE (4/5) risk is in place for northern Illinois tomorrow. This means a severe weather outbreak is likely tomorrow with large long track tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds all possible. As we get closer to home, the Knoxville area sits under a marginal risk with a slight risk for middle and western TN.
Looking more in depth at our next weather maker, a line of showers & storms ahead of a cold from will begin working through tomorrow afternoon (from west to east). The timing of this line comes in the overnight hours and into early Sunday morning (this is good news). As we get into the overnight hours, instability will begin to die off, decreasing storm activity as the night progresses. We'll likely see some gusty winds and areas of heavy rain but severe risks are low. Nonetheless, pay close attention for updates throughout the day so you know what to expect late tomorrow.
If you haven't already, go out and enjoy the warmth and spotty sunshine before shower chances increase throughout the day tomorrow. Sunday looks to be pleasant the second half of the day with high's in the mid 70's and broken cloud cover. Enjoy your weekend!
Looking high in the skies above is the latest satellite imagery showing sunny skies across the state. Expect this to be the main story through the day today and into the overnight hours. If you look toward the north and west, cloud cover is beginning to develop. This next system will shift winds out of the south, drawing in very warm temperatures tomorrow afternoon.
Tomorrow's high's could be record setting in the low to mid 80's. Not only will it be hot in Tennessee but southern Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi can expect high's in the lower 90's (Summer-like heat in late March). Tomorrow's high temperature record stands at 84 degrees (set back in 1910) so we'll be keeping a close eye and let you know if we manage to surpass that.
Looking ahead, the high to our east (contributing to the beautiful weather we have had) will continue to work out of the area. Cloud cover will begin increasing through the day tomorrow with showers eventually working in the later half of Saturday.
Model guidance picks up on these showers working through mainly in the overnight hours and into early Sunday morning. With the timing coming in the overnight hours, instability factors quickly diminish. We'll continue to monitor this closely though, as strong to severe storms could develop in western TN early in the day. For the time being expect this system to die out overnight providing moderate showers and cooler air into Sunday and Monday.
Enjoy some outdoor time if you have the opportunity today as it will be a beautiful one! If you are panning a hike or walk, send us your views by tagging us on Twitter/Facebook or sending them to SecretCityWx@aol.com
Sunnier skies....in East Tennessee? Yes! Taking a look below we see a mix of sunshine and cloud cover working in this afternoon. With a high pressure system located to the north, we'll see sunny skies and comfortable temperatures stick around for tomorrow as well.
As a high pressure system works in this afternoon, cloud cover will continue decreasing throughout the day. Sunny skies will work back in for tomorrow with temperatures in the lower 70's.
Friday will be another mostly dry day with increasing clouds. A system will work to our north drawing in warm air throughout the day Friday. Depending on the flow and how much sunshine we receive through the day, we could be close to setting a record high. I think given the latest data we'll be right under the record of 84 degrees, but it puts into context how warm temperatures will be for this time of the year.
Looking at those forecasted temperatures for Friday afternoon we see 70's and 80's across the board for the southeast. The East TN Valley can expect high's in the upper 70's and lower 80's Friday afternoon. A warm front to the north will help shift winds out of the south, pulling in those warmer temperatures and higher dew points throughout the day.
That concludes today's forecast but if you get the chance, be sure to enjoy some sunshine outside. With the warm season beginning to work back in, many outdoor industries are opening up their doors. If weather plays a big part in your business (Ex: farming, lawn care, outdoor recreation, sporting events, etc.) send us an email or visit SecretCityWeather.com/Services and let us know how we can help you. We offer a wide variety of services we can personalize for your operation.