Pleasant weather conditions find us today and into the weekend! A few isolated afternoon showers and storms will arrive by Sunday, but with slightly better chances (20-30%) through the upcoming work week. Temperatures will stay at to below average through the period. Check out more below:

A slow moving cold front will allow for the development of showers and thunderstorms again today. Fortunately, they won't be as widespread or as heavy. These will peter out overnight, setting up mostly sunny and cool temperatures Friday and through the weekend. Isolated to scattered afternoon showers/storms return Monday and through midweek.

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A Slight risk of flash flooding is in place today. This means isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding is possible, particularly in slow moving thunderstorms and within areas that have already received heavy rains earlier this week. Use caution and have a way to receive warnings if issued. The slow moving boundary should shift southeast tomorrow, bringing drier and cooler conditions by late afternoon and through the weekend. More details on our video forecast below:

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Showers to be scattered this afternoon, but those that do form will be slow moving and heavy rainfall makers. This will "prime" soil conditions for widespread activity on Wednesday. A flash flooding risk is in place as a result, so use caution and have a way to receive warnings if they were to be issued. Check out more details below:
(Hint: Friday and this weekend look GREAT)

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Good morning! Our continuous rounds of showers and storms find us once again today. The good news is
activity is be fairly sparse, with only isolated chances (20-30%) this afternoon to early evening. The heavy
hitters will arrive tomorrow and especially Wednesday. A slow moving cold front will crawl into the area,
bringing between 1 and 3 inches (and locally more) the next few days. Looking at the Day 2 (Tuesday) flash
flood potential, a Marginal to Slight risk is in place. A Slight risk entirely encompasses the area Wednesday, with isolated to scattered instances of flooding/flash flooding.

Breaking things down a little deeper, the approaching front will generate the development of storms tomorrow afternoon. These will continue, though fade is spread, overnight Tuesday. Activity will revamp Wednesday, bringing heavy rainfall rates and a few strong thunderstorms. As the boundary drifts south, lingering showers will be possible into Thursday, before much needed drier conditions prevail. We also find ourselves in a cool period, with highs Friday through the weekend BELOW average! Dew points will also be much lower, making things feel late Summer-ish.

Looking at the expected rainfall amounts on Wednesday, East Tennessee could see between 1 and 1.5". This is an average, with some locations likely topping 2" within stronger and persistent storms. Keep your safety in mind if in flood prone or low lying locations. Chances are a few of these locations will see higher running water tomorrow and Wednesday.

That will do it for today, our last wave of heavy rainfall and warm/muggy temps, before a welcomed pattern change late week. Highs Friday and the weekend will top out in the upper 70s to low 80s!

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We will start off with positive news! In terms of the drought-front, we have improved this week. Not only has East Tennessee fully recovered, but West Tennessee has also shown signs of improvement. Check out the latest conditions (figure 1) compared to the prior week (figure 2)

Back to the unfortunate reality ahead though, showers and storms look to ruin afternoon plans for at least the next 5-7 days. Given the warm and muggy airmass in place, as well as the current atmospheric pattern, daily showers and storms should be expected. With that said, there will be breaks with the most opportune time in the morning and at night. Showers and storms will be best during the afternoon and evening hours each day, with the better potential today and tomorrow, and then again next Tuesday and Wednesday. By late next week, high pressure looks to fill back in bringing some much needed drier conditions. Check out expected 7-day rainfall totals below.

As mentioned, the best rainfall potential will fall later today and again tomorrow. The bulk looks to fall across Middle Tennessee and into Kentucky, but high-res guidance depicts activity picking up for us overnight tonight. This could pose some issues with flash flooding potential, as we are under a Marginal Risk today and tomorrow. Really any thunderstorm over the next week will have the potential to be strong and bring localized heavy downpours. Keep this in mind moving forward, with another good shot of rain Tuesday & Wednesday with the arrival of a cold front. Check out our graphical forecast under the "5-Day Forecast" tab at the top of the page for more information!

That will do it for today...another warm and muggy one is in store, with highs in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees. We gradually trend cooler moving forward, but rain chances continue. Have a great weekend, and don't forget to catch us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest updates (@SecretCityWx)

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The biggest concern today and Thursday will be the heat. With high temperatures this afternoon topping out around 90 degrees, along with dew points in the 60s and 70s, heat indices will feel closer to the upper 90s. Some locations will even push the lower 100s. Keep your heat safety in mind today and again tomorrow, before cloud cover and rainfall cools things down a tad Friday and the weekend.

In terms of rainfall, we veer drier today with only an isolated shower or storm. By tomorrow, things begin to pick back up, with a cold front approaching from the west. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted a Marginal Risk for flash flooding Thursday (late) and again for Friday. Given the rounds of rainfall we have already picked up, some locations will be more flood prone than others. Be weather aware both in terms of the heat as well as the rainfall tomorrow and Friday.

Laying it all out, showers will be isolated today, becoming more scattered Thursday. Chances will continue to increase overnight Thursday and into Friday, with most locations likely to see some rain to end the work week. Scattered activity will then linger throughout the weekend and into early next week, with the best chances during the afternoon to early evening hours each day.

Though activity won't be as widespread and consistent this weekend and into next week, have the umbrella on standby. Chances are you will encounter a few storms here and there. As far as today through Friday, the heat will be the biggest concern, with rain/storm chances picking up each day through the 3-day stretch. 

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We have started off warmer today, with current temperatures in the lower 80s (12:30 pm). Afternoon highs will also reflect the warmer conditions, with things topping out in the upper 80s. Combining this with the higher dew points, heat indices will feel closer to the mid 90s. Heat and humidity will continue Wednesday and Thursday, with heat indices climbing to around 100 degrees each afternoon.

Looking at the current forecast, UV index values will be between 9-10. This is high, so be sure to keep that sunscreen close by tomorrow and Thursday! Cloud cover will aid in lowering things (as well as temperatures) Friday and into the weekend.

As far as what can be expected ahead, our usual summer-time pop up activity. Pop up showers and storms will be possible this afternoon, Wednesday, and again Thursday. By Friday, an approaching front will bring better chances, which also continue into the weekend. High pressure then fills in thereafter, bringing warmer but drier conditions next week.

That will conclude the forecast for today, as always though, thanks for following along! Don't forget to share our content as well as follow us on Twitter & Facebook if you don't already. You can do so by finding us at @SecretCityWx

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Good morning! Starting first with the latest state drought map....we have seen quite a bit of rainfall on and off the past several days, but the same can't be said in West Tennessee. Limited rainfall has led to Extreme Drought for portions of the state, while the remainder sits in Severe and Moderate drought. This will be something to watch moving forward, especially with East Tennessee back to normal.

In terms of weather ahead, our active streak continues. Rounds of showers and storms will find us through the day today, before things quite down tonight. Redevelopment takes place into Tuesday, though activity will be more isolated to scattered. Higher Resolution guidance depicts an opportunity for a line of storms Tuesday night into Wednesday, so we'll have to keep a close eye on how things evolve. For now, look for Wednesday to be the quietest day, before increasing chances return Thursday and into the day Friday.

I want to take a second to also apologize for the gap in coverage late last week and into the weekend. I was apart of those who were stuck in Eastern Kentucky and dealing with the historical flooding taking place. With no phone reception, it was impossible to update you all on the latest (here, social media, or elsewhere). Thank you for understanding!

Check out the video forecast below for more:

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