A low pressure system to the south and west will continue to pull in moisture from the Gulf this afternoon. As we work into tomorrow, a warm front will work through cranking up temperatures. Along with the warm front, heavier pockets of showers and thunderstorms are likely. The timing for these heavier showers/storms falls in the morning hours and then again into the early afternoon. Severe potential remains low, but be careful nonetheless.
With the warm front moving through tomorrow, temperatures will be seasonably warm in the upper 60's, near 70 degrees. It would not surprise me to hit 70 degrees here in the Valley (especially southern valley) tomorrow afternoon.
Looking ahead, showers will become more scattered this afternoon. Another round of showers and storms work in tomorrow with the warm front before drier air arrives in the evening. That will allow for a mostly dry Wednesday with broken cloud cover. Enjoy this brief reprieve while it lasts, we'll have more rain for Thursday. By Friday afternoon, sunnier skies return with this to continue into the weekend.
So far today we have picked up just over 3/4 of an inch here at the office with another few tenths likely throughout this afternoon. Looking at the latest data, an additional 2 inches is likely now through Thursday afternoon, rounding us off between 3 and 4 inches in total. The good news is flooding potential is on the lower confidence end of things this week, but watch out if you're in flood prone areas. Heavier showers and storms tomorrow and Thursday could lead to quickly rising waters in some spots.
All in all, it's going to be a soggy week with temperatures staying near average. If you can make it through the next couple of days, this weekend looks to be beautiful with sunny skies and high's in the 50's to low 60's. We will continue to monitor any severe threats as we work overnight and into Tuesday morning.
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