A low across the area will provide the energy and spark needed for a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms. With the latest position just to the south, we are seeing cooler air throughout east TN. That will be shown in the high's today as they are expected to top out a few degrees below average (low to mid 80's).
Don't forget the umbrellas this morning as shower activity is possible this afternoon. Showers and a few storms will likely develop early this afternoon and dissipate by the evening hours. As we work ahead, Thursday and Friday will provide the best chance for coverage. As a cutoff low develops to the south and west of us, widespread showers are expected Thursday, with more opportunity Friday. Severe potential remains low, but flood prone areas should remain vigilant. Additional activity will be possible Saturday as the low moves north. By Sunday, drier air will begin working in and average to above average temperatures will return for the week ahead.
Model guidance is suggesting anywhere from an inch to an inch and a half in the next few days. The bulk of this precipitation will fall Thursday and Friday. Some areas will likely see higher amounts in heavier cells so be weary of flash flooding potential. Gusty winds, small hail, isolated flooding, and heavy downpours are all possible for Friday.
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