A cut off low pressure system has made its way into the Mid-Atlantic and will stick around for much of this week. Severe weather remains low but gusty winds, heavy downpours (at times), and small hail are possible the next several days. I am not expecting all day rain events, but instead on and off showers throughout much of the work week.
Looking at model guidance, the low will track right over east TN, likely bringing gusty winds and lightning. With Arthur off the coast of North Carolina, there is no where for this low to go, contributing to its slow movement across our area. This system will then begin settling over the Carolinas, dumping lots or rainfall this week. By Friday, it will begin to track north and east allowing for some sunshine to return for the weekend. Depending on how much moisture remains, limited pop up showers/storms remain in place for Saturday and Sunday.
As hinted by the title, flooding is the largest concern this week. For east TN, I am expecting between 2-4 inches with locally higher amounts likely. Working further east, parts of North Carolina could see up to half a foot before we close out the work week on Friday. If you are in flood prone areas take the proper precautions and plan ahead.
We'll continue to keep you posted but for our knowledge and the knowledge of others, we welcome updates on conditions around east Tennessee. If you are seeing waters rise, flooding, storm damage, hail, etc. let us know via email or social media!
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