Happy Friday! It will be another beautiful fall day out there with temperatures getting close to 70 this afternoon and mostly sunny skies overhead. This can all be thanked to the high pressure system we have sitting over the region right now. This will move out by tomorrow afternoon as a system to the south will bring showers overnight Saturday and through the beginning of the day Sunday.
This system to our south is actually Tropical Cyclone Sixteen. It could develop into a category 1 this weekend, where it'll eventually travel north and east. Currently the storm has sustained winds of 60 mph and needs a minimum of 74 to be categorized as a hurricane. This is where we will see our shower activity from Saturday late afternoon and into Sunday morning.
As you can see from model guidance, we will be feeling the impacts of the outer bands from this tropical system. Nothing severe or damaging is expected, but we could see up to a tenth of an inch here in east TN. The real rain maker is further to our west and will arrive Monday afternoon and through the first half of the day Tuesday. Showers and thunderstorms will likely bring up to half an inch of much needed rainfall early to mid next week. In addition to the rainfall, expect cooler temperatures back into the 60's, as well.
As always, have a great and safe day. Be sure to enjoy the beautiful conditions before rain and clouds move in the later half of Saturday and through Tuesday of next week.