We will jump right into it as there is a bit to discuss. The break down consists of a slow moving low pressure system and an associated cold front, which will drag east slowly tonight and through tomorrow, before crossing the area Friday. As it does so, stronger storms could develop Thursday afternoon to early evening. The primary threat is damaging wind gusts, but an isolated area of spin up and large hail can't be ruled out. Further more, with heavy rainfall expected and rounds of showers and storms, flash flooding could also become a concern. A marginal risk for flash flooding from the Weather Prediction Center is in place as a result, where rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches is expected. We fortunately have been on the drier side in recent weeks, which should help, but won't eliminate the chances. This is especially true in areas that see multiple rounds of heavy showers and storms. Use caution, have a way to receive alerts, and pass along any reports you may have (severe storm or flooding wise). Through today, showers will generally be tamed through early this afternoon. They will begin to pick up thereafter, becoming scattered to widespread overnight and throughout Thursday. A few strong to severe storms will then be possible Thursday afternoon and evening, as we warm through the day and the front approaches from the west. These will then taper off from west to east throughout Friday, with sunshine back in for the holiday weekend. Highs today will sit right around average, in the upper 70s to low 80s. Keep the umbrellas handy, as it will be soggy the next 36 hours or so. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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