A warm front pushing north will both increase temperatures today as well as winds. Gusts through this afternoon could be as high as 40 mph +, so be sure to secure any loose objects and use caution if driving high profile vehicles. Because of the gusty winds, a wind advisory is in place for the area through early tomorrow morning. Additionally, conditions will be very dry today - leading to an enhanced risk for wildfires. As such, the NWS has issued a Red Flag Warning due to the low relative humidity and gusty winds. Please avoid burning if possible and reserve doing so another day. Getting into tonight, a line of showers and storms will build in from the west, some of which could be strong to severe.
Highlighting the winds today, this is a clip of Hi-Res model guidance depicting gusts between 35-45 mph this afternoon. If you are in the Smokies these will be much stronger with gusts up to 60 mph+ possible.
As far as the showers and storms tonight, the timing comes mainly between 8 pm and 2 am from west to east. Depending on how quick this boundary shifts east throughout the day today will dictate exact details, but this is the general time range you can expect. Within this line, strong to damaging winds gusts as well as isolated tornadoes will be possible. With the overnight timing, use extreme caution as many will be asleep. Have a way to receive watches or warnings if they are issued and know your secure place and what to do now if these were to go into effect. Drier and cooler air then filters in for Friday, with isolated shower chances Saturday before sunshine again Sunday.
That will do it for now. Have a way to receive alerts tonight as we'll be following along with this line of convection through West Tennessee and eastward. Give us a follow on Twitter and Facebook @SecretCityWX
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