Secret City Weather
  • Home
  • About
  • 5-Day Forecast
  • Radar
  • Contact
  • Services
  • News & More
    • Submissions
    • Almanac
  • Home
  • About
  • 5-Day Forecast
  • Radar
  • Contact
  • Services
  • News & More
    • Submissions
    • Almanac

   What You Can Expect                                           

The "Dog Days" Of Summer Have Arrived

8/12/2019

0 Comments

 
With lots to discuss, let's jump right into it. First, it is important to note we have released a HEAT ALERT for today (Monday) and Tuesday. This means abnormally high temperatures are expected across the east TN area. In addition to temperatures being in the mid 90's, the humidity will make temperatures feel close to 100 today and close to 110 tomorrow. With this said, PLEASE use caution if outdoors as heat exhaustion and stroke can strike quickly. Also, "look before you lock" as more than 30 children have already died in 2019 due to being left in hot vehicles. So why is it SO hot? Taking a look below is the current surface analysis graphic from the NWS. The high pressure system that has been keeping us dry this weekend has now pushed east. In return, the clock-wise flow allows for moisture to be pumped into our region (as shown by the arrows). With the combination of a dominate high pressure system and moisture being drawn in, temperatures are expected to feel in the triple digits through tomorrow. 
Picture
As an example, models are picking up on temperatures feeling close to 110 degrees for much of the valley by 4pm tomorrow afternoon. With these conditions, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can strike fast. Know the warning signs for each by referencing this site.
Picture
Courtesy of Dark Sky
Beyond the temperature hazards, we could also see the chance for severe weather Tuesday night. Taking a look below, you can see a front moving through the area. With plentiful moisture and heat already in place, this front will provide additional forcing (creating an unstable atmosphere). As of now, it is hard to pick up on the exact timing and impacts. As we get into tomorrow, I will have a better idea on the variables going into the forecast. I will mention that the rain we do receive will be "spotty". What I mean is stronger storms will produce heavier rainfall in certain spots than in others. Overall, we are in need of rain and, unfortunately, this system will not be a good one for replenishing the whole area. 
Picture
Current data has models suggesting a line of storms developing tomorrow night ahead of the front between 8 pm and 1 am. Depending on the exact time this forms, it can play a big factor in the severity. If this line forms early in the night (8pm or earlier) we could see a higher possibility of some severe weather. Another factor is cloud cover. Cloud cover will also play a part in temperatures tomorrow afternoon. If clouds arrive by tomorrow afternoon, temperatures could be a bit cooler (this is relative) than if they arrive later in the day. With all of this said, I would not be surprised to see NWS Morristown issue some Heat Advisories across the area, but again, this will depend largely on when clouds ahead of the front arrive. 
Picture
Below is the latest Severe Prediction Center release depicting the east TN region under a slight risk for severe weather. This system is a bit complex and hard to forecast for a full 30+ hours in advance with so many variables not completely known. As of now, I do expect a line of storms to develop tomorrow evening/night with the chance of some severe warned storms. This line will develop to our north and depending on the variables and timing, could keep its "form" (linearity) through our area. The greatest impacts associated with this will be damaging winds, large hail, and isolated areas of heavy downpours within stronger thunderstorms.  I will continue to monitor this system as it nears, so check back in tomorrow via Twitter and Facebook (@SecretCityWX). For those who do not have social media, you can follow along by viewing our tweets to the right of the screen. Simply scroll through or click on our twitter to view all of our content. 
Picture
For some ways to beat the heat, check out our latest graphic below. I hope everyone has a good start to their work week and remember to continuously check back in with us for the latest on the heat and tomorrow's severe potential. 
Picture
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Donate Today
    Your trusted source for everything weather in East Tennessee.

    Social Media
    Follow us!

    Tweets by SecretCityWX
    Follow @SecretCityWX
    Tweet #SECRETCITYWX

    Archives

    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019

Proudly powered by Weebly