Happy St. Patrick's Day to everyone! I hope your day is a bit more lucky than the weather we have been having. If you take a look below, southwest flow is beginning to dominate from western Texas to New England. This will allow for warming temperatures the next couple of days.
Looking at the latest surface map, remnant showers are working through the valley now before mostly cloudy skies return this afternoon. A high pressure system to the north will keep things mostly dry this afternoon to Wednesday then scattered showers return Wednesday night and Thursday. The main focus will be on Friday afternoon as a system (currently in the Midwest) could bring stronger showers and storms.
The last of the showers are working out now leaving mostly cloudy skies the remainder of today and into Wednesday. By tomorrow evening, additional scattered showers will work in and through Thursday. By Friday, a low pressure system will arrive bringing the chance for some heavier showers and storms. Though the SPC hasn't released an outlook for day 4, I anticipate a marginal to slight risk will cover the region. Models seem to be in agreement that the bulk of "strong stuff" will stay to the north but rounds of heavier showers, embedded thunder, and minor flooding is possible.
Through 11am today we have recorded 0.58" here at the office with mostly cloudy skies beginning to work in now. The graphic below depicts expected rain totals now through Friday afternoon. As you can tell, the bulk of rainfall will stay to the north and west with the heaviest rainfall amounts coming on Friday.
I hope everyone has a safe St. Patrick's day and stay dry this afternoon! We'll continue to monitor any severe weather potential for Friday.
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