Welcoming Back Fall
The wait is finally over....after today, we'll finally get that cool down many have been asking for. Looking at the severe & flash flood potential, both remain low. With the onset of activity in the overnight hours, there will be less instability to work with, resulting in a mainly moderate rain event with little lightning. With that said, the Plateau and into Middle TN could see some stronger to even severe storms during the evening and early overnight.
Breaking it down a bit further, here's a look at Hi-resolution model guidance. As it suggests, a few isolated showers will work through this afternoon. We are already seeing some light showers along the Northern Plateau and this will continue east with time. As the front presses closer, showers and a few storms will arrive overnight (mainly in that 2-4am window). Luckily, the bulk of activity will be overnight while many are asleep, leading to sunshine by tomorrow afternoon and a big change in air mass.
Forecasted highs, this by the NWS in Morristown, shows low to mid 60s through the weekend. Additionally, overnight lows will range from the upper 30s to mid 40s. For those with a few last minute crops, you may want to cover them up as we could even see some isolated patchy frost a few mornings (mainly in the higher elevated locations).
Overall, post-front, things should be gorgeous. This weekend will see mostly sunny skies with highs in the 60s. Rain should be out west-to-east through the mid morning to early afternoon.
Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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